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Well I was reading some articles over at CNBC and came across an article that showed just how far U.S. consumers over extended themselves in debt.

US Consumers Hit By Credit Crisis, And Everybody Pays

"Over the past decade, American households have piled on $8 trillion in debt, an increase of 137 percent, twice the gain seen in the size of the economy." How's that for over reaching your capacity to payback a loan?

One part really stuck out for me, "At $14 trillion, the debt load is now roughly equal to the entire economy's annual output." Holy smokes batman! You thought the U.S. government was bad. The article goes on to say most of that are mortgages but still. U.S. consumers would literally work all year just to pay off our debt.


That was just absolutely mind boggling to me and it also brought the credit crunch in perspective. People talk about how Americans spend too much and how we love plastic or how there was a housing bubble. These figures go to show just how much we have borrowed.

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Have We Hit a Bottom?

November 11th 2008 04:34
Will the bottom we reached on October 10th hold? In the short term yes. We don't have our entire financial system on the brink of collapse. In fact the system as a whole seems to be recovering.

1. Libor rates have dropped some.
2. The government has stepped in with infusions of capital to our banks.
3. The treasury has begun insuring top rated commercial paper and started acting as a 3rd party to these transactions.
4. Eventually the treasury will also begin buying up mortgage backed securities.
5. The government has been proactive in keeping this economy on track. This has given investors confidence in the market.


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Market Expectations for Election Day

November 4th 2008 13:25
Here we are on election day. Who's gonna win? Personally I think Mr. Obama is going to come away with the win. What does this mean for the market? In the long term I'm not so sure.

However I do believe that today and tomorrow we will see a jump in the Dow Jones and other indexes regardless who wins. This is because we will have more certainty of where the market is heading.

Robert
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I've got to say I have no idea where this market's heading. Fundamentals have been thrown out the window. Some stocks are getting killed for no reason. We have hedge funds liquidating positions because investors are making a record number of redemptions. This has created a vicious cycle of downward pressure on the market in general. October 31st was the the fiscal year end for many mutual funds which also created a lot of downward pressure as these funds sold shares at a loss for tax purposes.

After all of this you would think that shares have nowhere to go but up. Right? Well we still have this upcoming week which is chalk full of economic data which should give us a clearer picture of the state of the economy. Most importantly the employment data due at the end of the week


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Who I am

November 1st 2008 09:17
Hi there and welcome to my blog. My name is Robert and I'm currently studying Political Science at UNC (University of Northern Colorado) I'm also minoring in economics. I'm starting this blog because I want to talk about our economy with others and to get feedback as well.

With the Stock Market plunging and many financial institutions on the brink of bankruptcy its hard to be upbeat about the economy. However I do have some good news! Were actually faring better than our European counterparts these days. The U.S. dollar has been strengthening across the board. This is because people actually think the dollar is a good investment. The underlying asset of the Dollar is of course the U.S. its self. Foreigners actually think our economy is doing better than most. I know from our perspective this is hard to believe but its true


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Market's Will Turnaround.

It’s noon on Thursday, and the Dow currently sits just below 12,000. It’s been a horrible week for financial markets, but I expect that there will be a turnaround heading into the weekend. Here are several reasons why I expect the market to turn:

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It's Gonna Be a War


Now that Hillary Clinton has conceded and the Democratic nomination is finally behind us, we can finally take a look at the upcoming election. Coming off their respective nominations, Senators John McCain and Barack Obama will battle it out. Although a number of factors come in to play in deciding an election, economic conditions typically play a major role. In fact, most elections can be predicted if one can gauge voters' perception of the economy correctly


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Thus far this week, things are not looking good.
Intro

We will be getting a bag of economic goodies on Tuesday. These releases will most likely decide the course of financial markets for the next two days. The releases cover everything from housing to inflation to production to oil inventories


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Policy? What Policy?

June 11th 2008 21:00
Trends
Americans are struggling. The average American household's net worth and income are down from a year ago. Households are also being hit by a tough job market that is constraining wages and higher costs for fuel and food. Meanwhile, more housing markets are experiencing a vicious cycle of home price declines and foreclosures.
We’ve seen the government attempt to respond, but thus far it has fallen short. What’s in store for the next few months


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When will the economy rebound?

June 9th 2008 17:34
An unprecedented combination of events has led to the current economic climate, which some deem as a recession. The economic slowdown began with the downturn in the housing market. Price and sales growth shrank to the point where builders began walking away from projects. Building permits and housing starts took a tumble in response. As prices slid further, interest rates reset and many borrowers (especially those considered subprime due to their weak credit status) were not able to afford their mortgage. In response, mortgage lenders tightened their lending standards across the board. The housing-related credit problems slowly seeped into financial markets causing a credit crunch—a situation where highly rated business had trouble obtaining financing. The volatility was evident in most financial markets.

As corporations scaled back capital investment, they also scaled back hiring. Layoffs have been pervasive over the past few months


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