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When the financial crisis took hold of the U.S. economy many economists forecast that this recession would be long and deep yet I still hear people talking about a quick recovery. COME ON PEOPLE.

The good news is just better than expected bad news let alone real good news. Consumer spending is still low by historical standards, unemployment is now at 9.5% nationally.

People are saving and preparing for the worst not going out and buying new TVs and cars. People are trying to figure out how to put food on the table. A 10 year old boy wanted to help his mom out so badly he tried to shoplift a loaf of bread and a box of Mac and cheese. He resorted to stealing because his mom had no money to feed her family.


These are not seeds of recovery and right now all we can hope for is that things don't get worse. I truely feel sorry for those less fortunate than I. Everyone deserves food and shelter regardless of how much money they have.

I'm fortunate to have a full time job working in retail that pays less than $10.00 an hour.

Robert
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Today we had a HUGE rally accross the board. people are pointing to positive economic indicators and also the treasury's plan to deal with toxic assets as the reason for this recent rally.

A weak dollar has given many commodities a boost including oil which is now above $50.00 a barrel again. If your looking for a long term investment invest in oil it won't stay low forever. Also it provides a hedge against inflation. Lastly oil prices are at historic lows compared to other inflation hedges such as gold.

Where are the markets heading now? If we hit Dow 7000 I think we could quite possibly be off to the races and have a sustained rally. I however believe we will have a pull back from today's huge push upward. Some profit taking should be considered as we have had a huge run up and a pullback is becoming more likely.


Just some food for thought.
Robert

P.S. if your looking for more details on the treasury's plan check out CNBC's overview
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A brief year end review

January 6th 2009 23:41
well one thing is for sure. This year has been a roller coaster for everyone as far as finances are concerned. The first part of the year was highlighted with oil prices skyrocketing and the sub-prime market still an isolated incident. A gallon of gas at the pump reached $4.00 a gallong during the summer.

Then came the financial meltdown filled with bankruptcy and bailouts. Many financial stocks have now become penny stocks as the companies behind them struggle to survive. The auto industry was and still is on the brink of collapse.

The good news is that gas prices have plummeted and now stand at less than $1.50 a gallon.

I believe the worst of the financial crisis is over. However it has left a country in recession and in deep trouble. Obama is set to take charge of this country at a time it hasn't seen since the great depression. People are hoping he can direct our country to greener pastures. Honestly He can't do it alone and just because he is taking office doesn't mean everything is going to be okay.
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Well I was reading some articles over at CNBC and came across an article that showed just how far U.S. consumers over extended themselves in debt.

US Consumers Hit By Credit Crisis, And Everybody Pays
[ Click here to read more ]
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Have We Hit a Bottom?

November 11th 2008 04:34
Will the bottom we reached on October 10th hold? In the short term yes. We don't have our entire financial system on the brink of collapse. In fact the system as a whole seems to be recovering.

1. Libor rates have dropped some


[ Click here to read more ]
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Market Expectations for Election Day

November 4th 2008 13:25
Here we are on election day. Who's gonna win? Personally I think Mr. Obama is going to come away with the win. What does this mean for the market? In the long term I'm not so sure.

However I do believe that today and tomorrow we will see a jump in the Dow Jones and other indexes regardless who wins. This is because we will have more certainty of where the market is heading


[ Click here to read more ]
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I've got to say I have no idea where this market's heading. Fundamentals have been thrown out the window. Some stocks are getting killed for no reason. We have hedge funds liquidating positions because investors are making a record number of redemptions. This has created a vicious cycle of downward pressure on the market in general. October 31st was the the fiscal year end for many mutual funds which also created a lot of downward pressure as these funds sold shares at a loss for tax purposes.

After all of this you would think that shares have nowhere to go but up. Right? Well we still have this upcoming week which is chalk full of economic data which should give us a clearer picture of the state of the economy. Most importantly the employment data due at the end of the week


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Who I am

November 1st 2008 09:17
Hi there and welcome to my blog. My name is Robert and I'm currently studying Political Science at UNC (University of Northern Colorado) I'm also minoring in economics. I'm starting this blog because I want to talk about our economy with others and to get feedback as well.

With the Stock Market plunging and many financial institutions on the brink of bankruptcy its hard to be upbeat about the economy. However I do have some good news! Were actually faring better than our European counterparts these days. The U.S. dollar has been strengthening across the board. This is because people actually think the dollar is a good investment. The underlying asset of the Dollar is of course the U.S. its self. Foreigners actually think our economy is doing better than most. I know from our perspective this is hard to believe but its true


[ Click here to read more ]
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Market's Will Turnaround.

It’s noon on Thursday, and the Dow currently sits just below 12,000. It’s been a horrible week for financial markets, but I expect that there will be a turnaround heading into the weekend. Here are several reasons why I expect the market to turn:

[ Click here to read more ]
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It's Gonna Be a War


Now that Hillary Clinton has conceded and the Democratic nomination is finally behind us, we can finally take a look at the upcoming election. Coming off their respective nominations, Senators John McCain and Barack Obama will battle it out. Although a number of factors come in to play in deciding an election, economic conditions typically play a major role. In fact, most elections can be predicted if one can gauge voters' perception of the economy correctly


[ Click here to read more ]
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